2009 Predictions

12:58 am forecast

(( At the beginning of last year I made 10 predictions, then evaluated their accuracy at the end of the year. This year, I predict…

  1. There will be a major blow to freedom of expression in the Second Life World™
  2. One or more of LL’s products will undergo an abrupt price change, and there will be protests.
  3. Linden Lab will face a challenge regarding customer privacy. For example, perhaps it will be revealed that LL has provided server logs and chat logs to be used in an investigation or as evidence in a legal proceeding. Or, perhaps it will be revealed that a court has granted a wire tap on specific communications and activities in Second Life. Linden Lab will cooperate with authorities and not take any inordinate legal risks for the sake of their customer’s privacy.
  4. Perhaps as a result of this, someone will build automatic two-way text encryption into a third-party viewer, similar to pidgin-encrypt
  5. LL will announce that certain services are only available in the official Second Life viewer, and perhaps some authenticated third-party viewers. In particular, the abuse reporting tool will be restricted to prevent forged snapshots.
  6. The will be a change in the permissions system, perhaps to accommodate grid interoperability.
  7. There will be a welcome improvement to the offline message system.
  8. Someone will die.

Hmmm.. looks like only 8 this time. Maybe I’ll think of two more by tomorrow. Maybe not. Have a good 2009, everyone.
-Big Adz ))

3 Responses
  1. Zaphrod Zenovka :

    Date: January 2, 2009 @ 19:39

    What? No thoughts about third party SIMs joining the SL grid? No thoughts about 3rd party grids?

  2. Adz Childs :

    Date: January 4, 2009 @ 09:16

    Ah, thanks for the comment.

    In general, 3rd party grids will be mired in controversy. Firstly, their Terms of Service documents will be adaptive, and their own legal standing, in terms of owners’ identity, jurisdiction membership, and financial standing, will be unstable. This will lead to users thinking they are getting one kind of service and instead being disappointed at best, or in legal trouble at worst. Secondly, the management of third-party grids will come under scrutiny. The backgrounds of the people running the grids will surface, and we may not like what we see. Furthermore, management of the grids will fight amongst themselves. In short, they will be painfully disorganized, and drama will be rampant.

    I guess we can call this prediction 9.

  3. Adz :

    Date: January 13, 2009 @ 18:10

    Okay. Final 2009 prediction, number 10, is ready. This one is about names.
    10. There will be over 1500 last names available to new registrants in December 2009. This is will be a larger pool of last names than the largest pool in 2008, which was about 1000. However, they will not be released all at once. Steadily, the number of new last names released will exceed the number of last names retired (perhaps none will be retired, just left to be naturally saturated), resulting in record balance of available names at the end of the year.

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